Wednesday, May 28, 2008

28 May 2008

News:
HSBC had subprime debt 34 billion USD.

27 May data
Turnover 54.5 billion
share 93.70 billon share
hugh turnover 26.44 billion dollar
%48.53%

HSI future
O 24303 H 2441 L24165 C24175 turnover 89455, outstanding 83571

28 May.
2628 2281 count
941 6956 count

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

27 May 2007

26 May data
Turnover 76.7 billion
count 109.2 billion

Big turnover 39.8 billion
% 51.88%

O 24300 H 24331 L 24091 C 24259

turnover count #2628 2905 B-1137 A1747
turnover count #941 8160, B2301 A570

Monday, May 26, 2008

26 May 2008

941 count 19070
2628 count 3440

Today market drop 5xx point.. mainly generated from 941.
The good news sold theory applied again.

Techncially speaking. the HSI will back to 23000 to 23300 something. A share will become 3000,,,,the timing will be between the HSI future settlement.

Then the market will go capped at 25000 again......before the olympic open.

Thursday, May 22, 2008

22 May 2008

HSI drop 417 point (-1.64%)

4930
1844
2447
2602
2080
1751
1424
1543
1501
2908
2555
1695
1294
1370
1227
1365
909
904
908
1412
1447
1160
855
1189
893
936
940
857
1516
1144
2343
1604
1677
1643
1601
1221
1359
1675
1336
1544
1283
1730
1867
1466
2048
2167
2541
3746

21 May HSI +290.83 +1.1554%
turnover 79.2 billion
share 117.45 bilion share
Huge turnover 38.54 billion
48.64%

HSIF:
O: 24950 H: 25530 L 24833 C 25430

Turnover 71377, Open interest 95486

Wednesday, May 21, 2008

21 May 2008

Bad trade:

Yesterday, the stock market turn down because of the consolidation phrase ended.
Last week, the thin trade pattern trigger the big move in the HSI market.

1.The Taiwan new president appointment give a good signal to sell.
2.The #13's pattern really give a indication for the market adjust.
3.The Deutbank put his sell order on the ask side is another indication.
4.Colleague's trading behaviour.
5.The uncle 4 and UBS 's prediction.


My emotional thought nearly collapse, tone my trading mood is necessary.

Taiwan 's entry point should be 8650.

High 9309low 7384
1925 point
30% drop = 577.5 8731

In the afternoon, the atmosphere totally reverse. My stop loss order turn out to be 0.150 to 0.250. crazy.>@@!!


40% drop = 770 8539
50% drop = 962.50 8346.5

20 May (drop 572.77 -2.225%)
turnover 82.80 bilion
Share 134.8 bilion share
Huge turnover 37.73 bilion
45.57%

HSIF
O 25680 H 25687 L 24969 C 25096
turnover 76925
Open interes 98901

Saturday, May 17, 2008

16 May 2008

Go out work in the afternoon.
Miss the RM meeting.

THe data will be updated on 18 May 2008 morning

Thursday, May 15, 2008

15 May 2008

14 May 2008 data

Turnover 67.9 billion
share transcated 125.3 billion share

Huge turnover 33.2%, 48.33%

turnover HSIF, turnover 65737 , outstanding 103451

O 25377, H 25514, L 24998, C 25460

15 May 5 min turnover

4053
2153
1681
1727
1696
1334
1504
1351
1273
1818
1537
1320
1318
1399
1317
1231
1629
1247
1183
1255
1502
1845
1242
1690
1256
982
1092
1032
1415
1077
1752
2505
2196
1697
1496
1477
1425
1089
1461
1521
2254
1736
1894
2144
1895
2086
2453
3290

941 count 3123 B 1365 A1675
2628 count 3068 B1695 A1328
1800 count 1539 B 527 A959

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

14 May 2008

13 May HSI movement

the turnover is 80.84 billion.
the share trsnacted is 125 billion share

the huge turnover is 40.7 bilion

turnover HSIF, turnover 68012, outstanding 100749
O 24924, H 25573, L 24924, C 25450

14 May 5 min turnover

4006
1884
1732
1465
1473
1445
1253
1330
1115
1364
1416
1175
1107
856
762
1877
1192
1126
1182
951
1199
944
1001
876
947
742
729
974
785
922
1820
1621
1178
1274
1848
1369
1229
1095
946
1362
1811
1432
1244
1761
1765
2032
2323
3495

Deutsche Bank place a signifiant bid in the 13 May afternoon, HSI rise nearly 500 point.
From the US graph and HSI graph, except for the deep discount in the HSI future, technically speaking it is good. ( so reverse thinking applied)

These day, the HSI movement is not followed by Dows and A shares, just a little bit follow the Nikkei trend, still thinking of what is its implication?

bought #2899 2000 @6.80, Slow stoachic at a low low level.

Predication:

Today, the market open trendlessly, at a slow selling pressure, -100 something, before the morning close, the market -400.
In the afternoon open, the market rebounce,- 200, and finally become -10 because of the high close in the Nikkei and A share. The turnover less than 70billion.

No view, US market will be consolidated between 12700 to 12900, low volatility.
HK will have +-200 tomorrow.

Next week will have break through. After 20 May, before the HSI F fixing.
Reason: investor will get used to be the 25000-26000, and become to invest. From the client 's habitat, they mostly traded at a relatively high range.