14 May 2008

13 May HSI movement

the turnover is 80.84 billion.
the share trsnacted is 125 billion share

the huge turnover is 40.7 bilion

turnover HSIF, turnover 68012, outstanding 100749
O 24924, H 25573, L 24924, C 25450

14 May 5 min turnover

4006
1884
1732
1465
1473
1445
1253
1330
1115
1364
1416
1175
1107
856
762
1877
1192
1126
1182
951
1199
944
1001
876
947
742
729
974
785
922
1820
1621
1178
1274
1848
1369
1229
1095
946
1362
1811
1432
1244
1761
1765
2032
2323
3495

Deutsche Bank place a signifiant bid in the 13 May afternoon, HSI rise nearly 500 point.
From the US graph and HSI graph, except for the deep discount in the HSI future, technically speaking it is good. ( so reverse thinking applied)

These day, the HSI movement is not followed by Dows and A shares, just a little bit follow the Nikkei trend, still thinking of what is its implication?

bought #2899 2000 @6.80, Slow stoachic at a low low level.

Predication:

Today, the market open trendlessly, at a slow selling pressure, -100 something, before the morning close, the market -400.
In the afternoon open, the market rebounce,- 200, and finally become -10 because of the high close in the Nikkei and A share. The turnover less than 70billion.

No view, US market will be consolidated between 12700 to 12900, low volatility.
HK will have +-200 tomorrow.

Next week will have break through. After 20 May, before the HSI F fixing.
Reason: investor will get used to be the 25000-26000, and become to invest. From the client 's habitat, they mostly traded at a relatively high range.